期刊论文

Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Influencing Factors of COVID-19 in Urban Agglomeration in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River

中文

现代城市研究

1009-6000

2022

6

8-15

10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2022.06.002

国家自然科学基金面上项目(41471109)。

本校为第一机构

新冠肺炎(COVID-19)疫情发生后,长江中游城市群作为全国最重要的城市群发展战略区域之一,所受影响最为显著.在全球疫情仍在肆虐的当下,为探究疫情重灾区城市群疫情时空演变规律,文章通过搜集整理长江中游城市群2020年典型时段疫情统计数据以及路网交通与经济社会等数据,利用GIS可视化、空间自相关等方法分析新冠肺炎疫情动态变化过程与空间演变特征,并综合运用主成分分析和多元线性回归模型,系统分析城市群疫情发展演变的主要影响因素及机制.研究结果表明:(1)长江中游城市群新冠肺炎累计确诊病例总数呈现S型变化态势,先后经历缓慢上升、快速上升和逐步放缓3个阶段,之后疫情总体由紧急防控阶段转...

After the outbreak of COVID-19,the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River,as one of the most important development strategic regions in China,was most significantly affected.In order to explore the temporal and spatial evolution law of the epidemic situation in urban agglomerations,this paper collects and sorts out the epidemic statistics of urban agglomerations in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River in 2020 and the data of road network traffic and economic and social development,and uses GIS and other methods to analyze the dynamic change process and spatial evolut...