期刊论文

中文

系统工程

1001-4098

2018

36

1

111-119

国家社科基金重点项目(14AJL012)

本校为第一机构

选取小麦、玉米、大豆作为研究对象,利用2005～2015年的月度数据和分位数回归方法检验国际大宗农产品定价对中国农产品价格的影响.研究结果表明,国际大宗农产品定价对中国农产品期货市场价格和现货市场价格均具有显著地正向影响,且对期货市场的影响力大于现货市场.此外,金融危机前国际大宗农产品定价对中国农产品期货市场价格和现货市场价格的影响力均大于金融危机后.分住数回归结果进一步揭示了,在各分位数水平上国际大宗农产品定价对中国农产品价格均具有显著的正向影响,并且在中低分位点的影响力基本大于高分位点.不同类型农产品的回归结果表明,国际大宗农产品定价对中国不同农产品价格的影响...

Using the monthly data and quantile regression method from 2005 to 2015 with wheat, corn, soybeans as the research object, this paper tests the impact of the international bulk agricultural product pricing on the agricultural products price in China. The results show that the international bulk agricultural product pricing has a significant positive impact on the price of Chinese agricultural futures market and the spot market price, and its influence on the futures market is greater than that of the spot market. In addition, the impact of international bulk agricultural product pricing on agr...