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New technical indicators and stock returns predictability

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Dai, Zhifeng*;Zhu, Huan;Kang, Jie
通讯作者:
Dai, Zhifeng
作者机构:
[Dai, Zhifeng; Zhu, Huan; Kang, Jie] Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Math & Stat, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Dai, Zhifeng] C
Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Math & Stat, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
New technical indicators;De-noise;In-sample forecast;Out-of-sample forecast;Economic significance
期刊:
International Review of Economics & Finance
ISSN:
1059-0560
年:
2021
卷:
71
页码:
127-142
基金类别:
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China granted [ 71771030 , 11301041 , 71671018 ], Scientific Research Fund of Hunan Provincial Education Department [grant number 19A007 ], Hunan Province Graduate Research and Innovation Project [ CX2019702 ].
机构署名:
本校为第一且通讯机构
院系归属:
数学与统计学院
摘要:
We find that combining de-noising stock returns by wavelet transform with new proposed technical indicators can significantly improve the accuracy of stock returns forecasts, in which the new technical indicators can directly reflect the trend of stock returns series. Empirical results indicate the stock returns forecasts generated by new technical indicators are statistically and economically significant both in-sample and out-of-sample prediction performance. And when multivariate information is used to predict stock returns, its predictabili...

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