期刊论文

Chai, YF

英文

NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE

2397-3722

2023

6

1

10.1038/s41612-023-00419-x

National Natural Science Foundation of China [52209079]; Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province [2021JJ40607]; Scientific Research Foundation of Hunan Provincial Education Department [20B021]; UK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) [NE/S009000/1, NE/S015728/1]; UK Research and Innovation [MR/V022008/1]

本校为第一机构

Over the tropical land surface, accurate estimates of future changes in temperature, precipitation and evapotranspiration are crucial for ecological sustainability, but remain highly uncertain. Here we develop a series of emergent constraints (ECs) by using historical and future outputs from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Earth System Models under the four basic Shared Socio-economic Pathway scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585). Results show that the temperature sensitivity to precipitation during 2015-2100, which varies substantially in the original CMIP6...