期刊论文、会议论文

Hou, Zhixiang

英文

Applied Mechanics and Materials

1662-7482

2011

48-49

574-578

Applied Mechanics and Materials

Shanghai, PEOPLES R CHINA

[Hou, Zhixiang] Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Automobile & Mech Engn, Changsha 410004, Hunan, Peoples R China.^Engn Res Ctr, Minist Educ, Catastrophic Prophylaxis & Treatment of Road & Sa, Changsha 410004, Hunan, Peoples R China.

IEEE Instrumentat & Measurement Soc, Shanghai Univ Engn Sci, City Univ Hong Kong, Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Hunan Univ Sci & Technol

Hou, ZX

KREUZSTRASSE 10, 8635 DURNTEN-ZURICH, SWITZERLAND

TRANS TECH PUBLICATIONS LTD

9783037850190

10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.48-49.574

ministry of communication P.R. China [09C070, 2008-319-825-030]; Hunan natural science foundationNatural Science Foundation of Hunan Province [08jj3120, 10jj6072]

本校为第一且通讯机构

Although road traffic accidents have contingency characteristics, but also can use the method of forecasting theory to forecast. In this paper, we adopt the gray GM (1,1) model and cubic exponent smooth model to optimum combination,Established traffic accident prediction model based on IOWGA(induction ordered geometric weighted average)and tested this combination forecasting model. Test results show that the combination forecasting model is effective, re...