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Forecasting stock market volatility: the role of gold and exchange rate

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Dai, Zhifeng*;Zhou, Huiting;Dong, Xiaodi
通讯作者:
Dai, Zhifeng
作者机构:
[Zhou, Huiting; Dai, Zhifeng; Dong, Xiaodi] Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Math & Stat, Changsha 410114, Hunan, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Dai, Zhifeng] C
Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Math & Stat, Changsha 410114, Hunan, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
Exchange rate;Forecasting;Gold;Prediction ability;Stock return volatility
期刊:
AIMS Mathematics
ISSN:
2473-6988
年:
2020
卷:
5
期:
5
页码:
5094-5105
基金类别:
National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [71771030, 11301041]; Scientific Research Fund of Hunan Provincial Education DepartmentHunan Provincial Education Department [19A145]
机构署名:
本校为第一且通讯机构
院系归属:
数学与统计学院
摘要:
The objective of our paper is to show that gold and exchange rate volatility is predictive of stock volatility from both in-sample and out-of-sample perspectives. There exists very significant predictability from gold and exchange rate volatility to Hang Seng Index (HSI) return volatility among in-sample results. The out-of-sample results demonstrate the gold and exchange rate volatility extracts significantly useful information for Hang Seng Index (HSI) return volatility. Furthermore, the performance of the predictive ability of gold and excha...

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