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The Impact of Oil Shocks on Systemic Risk of the Commodity Markets

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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Dai, Zhifeng;Wu, Tong
通讯作者:
Wu, T
作者机构:
[Dai, Zhifeng; Wu, T; Wu, Tong] Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Math & Stat, Hunan Prov Key Lab Math Modeling & Anal Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China.
通讯机构:
[Wu, T ] C
Changsha Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Math & Stat, Hunan Prov Key Lab Math Modeling & Anal Engn, Changsha 410114, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
Commodity markets;connectedness;GARCH-MIDAS model;oil price shocks;systemic risk
期刊:
系统科学与复杂性(英文版)
ISSN:
1009-6124
年:
2024
页码:
1-24
基金类别:
National Natural Science Foundation of China [71771030, 72131011]; Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Project [22YJA790011]
机构署名:
本校为第一且通讯机构
院系归属:
数学与统计学院
摘要:
This study examines the influence of oil shocks on systemic risk spillover among the commodity markets. Specifically, this paper uses the DCC-GARCH approach combined with the TVP-VAR model to calculate risk connectedness and the GARCH-MIDAS model to explore how oil shocks from different sources affect the risk spillover effects among the commodity markets. The results are the following: First, there are significant risk spillovers among the commodity markets with important time-varying characteristics and with sharp changes in times of crisis. The industrial metals, agriculture, precious metal...

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